Gerard Baker
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There's something curious about the human imagination. Confronted with unprecedented events of unfathomable scale, it seems to find the shocking reality insufficiently interesting and reaches instead for even grander, more cosmic explanations of what's going on.
The financial crisis is precisely that sort of moment. It's a vast drama, with consequences that will ripple steadily from immediate economic hardship to changes in short-term political fortune to a broad recasting of the way our economies and societies work.
But that's not enough, apparently, for the drama queens and kings of our political and media establishments. Hastily, they've constructed a grand historical narrative in the last couple of weeks, composed largely of overarching myths that are in danger of hardening into conventional wisdom.
So at the risk of being accused of missing the historical boat, let me try to take a few of them on.
Capitalism has failed and the US has embraced socialism
This one has adherents, surprisingly, on both sides of the Atlantic. In Europe, the birthplace, etymologically speaking, of Schadenfreude, the Germans and French have been eagerly stamping on the grave of Anglo-Saxon capitalism. In America they've found unlikely allies among a bunch of hardline conservative Republican politicians and commentators. These latter-day Bourbons claim the Bush Administration's $700 billion bailout plan for banks will rank with the October Revolution and Mao's Long March as seminal events in the history of human serfdom.
Let's take the latter claim first. Seven hundred billion dollars certainly sounds like a big chunk of the economy to be placed in the hands of the Government. It could, spent wisely, get you some way to the top of the commanding heights of America's $14 trillion economy.
But I doubt the Hank Paulson plan would win him plaudits with Marx and Engels. For starters, acquiring the financial equivalent of a junkyard is not quite what socialists have in mind when they urge nationalisation.
In any case the actual outlay will not be anything like $700 billion. The Government is merely proposing to use that money to buy the putrid assets that now clog the balance sheets of banks. When the frozen credit markets thaw, it will sell them back. It's unlikely the whole exercise will cost more than a couple of hundred billion dollars, which represents about 1.5 per cent of the US economy.
That leads us to the argument about capitalism's terminal failure.
As I've argued before, the current collapse owes as much to government intrusion into the free market (the abominable hybrid of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac; the regulatory requirement that banks lend money cheaply to those who couldn't afford to repay it) as it does to the madness of free market savagery. There's been precious little financial deregulation in the past ten years. The one big piece of liberalisation - the abolition in 1999 of Depression-era legislation that separated commercial and investment banks - has been a lifesaver, enabling investment banks to save themselves by merging with, or becoming, retail banks.
Capitalism's Cassandras might also want to consider that the crisis the current mess most closely resembles is the Swedish banking collapse of 1991-92. I don't remember Sweden being reviled in those days as a model of heartless capitalism.
The unpleasant truth is that financial excesses occur quite frequently in the capitalist system and always require modifications to it, not its abolition.
One hundred years ago, John Pierpont Morgan singlehandedly rescued a financial system near collapse. The experience led directly a few years later to the creation of the Federal Reserve, America's central bank (greeted then, by the way, by the same sort of extremists, as a harbinger of socialism). In the 1930s the Depression resulted in reforms that changed but did not destroy the free market. In the early 1990s the Government spent a couple of hundred billion dollars bailing out the savings and loans industry. That didn't noticeably undermine capitalism.
America's political leadership has collapsed
Let us acknowledge first that this is not a week to earn many American politicians a chapter in a future volume of Profiles in Courage. The vote on Monday was a failure of management as much as anything.
John McCain has rightly taken a lot of stick for making a big deal out of returning to Washington to save the world. There was nothing wrong with his Superman act except that he didn't execute it. When you dive into the telephone box and don the suit with the S on the chest, you can't simply sit quietly and listen sympathetically to everyone's concerns, say you hope it all works out and head back to the office.
Barack Obama's performance was even less inspiring. His message to Washington in the midst of the worst financial crisis in 75 years was (I'm not making this up): “Call me if you need me.”
But - and I'm loath to excuse politicians - could we have expected them to fall into line, without a struggle, with the plan the Bush Administration handed them? If you asked the top 200 economists what they thought of the plan, I guarantee that a clear majority of them would say it was riddled with flaws.
In any case, all the indications are that the House will pass the plan - with amendments - today. Not a straight path to a resolution, but certainly not one to perdition either.
Europe has shown how to deal with the crisis
This myth strikes me as the most dangerous and delusional of all. Its first incarnation a few months back was that social democratic Europe had avoided the financial disasters of the Anglo-Saxons. Little local difficulties at Fortis and Dexia have taken care of that, so now the claim is that cool-headed Europeans have saved the day.
Really? Ireland's bold move to protect depositors is producing a competitive run on other European banks and seems to have mortgaged the entire eurozone to an open-ended commitment from a government that is already fiscally challenged. Over to you, Mr Sarkozy and Mrs Merkel.
The bigger problem with the Europeans is their steadfast refusal to recognise the severity of the crisis. While the Federal Reserve has slashed interest rates, the ECB and the Bank of England continue to worry about inflation and refuse to cut interest rates.
Capitalism is flexible enough to bend when the financial hurricanes blow. Let's hope we can say the same for Europe's policymakers.

Gerard Baker is United States Editor and an Assistant Editor of The Times. He joined in 2004 from the Financial Times, where he had spent over ten years as Tokyo correspondent and Washington Bureau Chief. His weekly oped column appears on Fridays
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Would the U.S. people have tolerated a massive, coordinated intervention in the housing market, say, in 2002 (the last year in which housing prices seemed defensible), designed to disrupt the whole machine before it got out of control? At the expense of a major, technocratically-induced recession?
Michael Lewis, San Diego, US
you use the term free market very freely! your free market seems to have a lot of government interventions to maintain it. this bail out is one of the biggest interventions. not quite socialism but lets say, stealth socialism to prop up the ideology of captialism.
Dr Smith, London, UK
Liz in St Paul: First, there's no "bailout": total misnomer as no one is getting bailout. Maybe you missed that Lehman investors lost almost every nickel. Same for AIG. 99% of those that understand the issue support providing liquidity so that the economic system doesn't collapse. Et tu Brutus?
Rod, NYC, USA
If America's political leadership has not collapsed, as Gerard contends, then what would a true collapse of leadership look like should it occur?
Helena Handbasket, Thousand Oaks, California, USA
Perhaps Liz in St Paul, MN, USA would like to re-read the title!
SaM, Hampshire,
The person who is "smug" about Australia and Canada had better look again. The wolf is at the door and you are not immune. Especially Canada where 80% of ythe exports go GUESS WHERE??
Australia is already showing signs of severe economic weakness.
Now tell me again how you are immune?
JLK, Portland,
Wonderful piece !
Jay, Dixzie, USA
Your title is wrong - The US has NOT embraced socialism, our leaders have. 90% of the American public DID NOT WANT THIS BAILOUT. Bush needs to go, but a lot of Congress needs to go with him, Starting with Nancy Pelosi and Barny Frank.
Liz, St. Paul, MN, USA
It isn't $700 billion.
Why do the media keep banging on about this figure? If they cared to read the bill or the previous drafts they would see that it is a maximum of $700 Billion, at any one time. After two years of toxic loan processing the final bill for the taxpayers will be a trillion plus.
Stu Peters, Nova Scotia,
In Britain, the government is more to blame than any other participant in the whole scandalous affair. It has made more money out of indebtedness than any business or bank which is probably why nothing was done to stop the proliferation of individual debt. Easy funding for Stupid socialist excesses.
Abe, Manchester, UK
"Capitalism is flexible enough to bend when the financial hurricanes blow".
Capitalism has bent to manifest itself as socialism! Besides the nationalisation, competition is lost out as mergers have taken place, market forces are smothered and market is bucked.
simon, LONDON,
Looking from the north I wonder what we are doing wrong: banks not failing, GDP growing slightly, employment stable, an election debate where the candidates actually talk to each other, candidates for prime minister not claiming to shoot defenseless animals. Maybe there is a "third way".
Patrick, Toronto, Canada
The blame for the sub-prime interest mortgage market should and does still rest on one group of people: The Sub-Prime Borrowers. I'm 4 years out of school making good money - I can't afford a mortgage yet. Why do my contemporaries think they are entitled to one? Or families with WAY more expenses?
Kyle, Burbank, CA, USA
samuel glasgow - Interesting comment given that the UK has the largest debt of any OECD country and the most in the developed world other than Egypt, Hungary and Pakistan.UK people have more debt than all of EU people put together. Scotland-over 45% of economy is govt spend. Truly can't continue.
KR, Cap Ferrat, FRANCE
The role of the Fed is not monolithic. It is not there to create growth and has been very much focused on killing inflation for decades. The Democrats are bleating about regulation because they know full well that they, and they alone are responsible for the origin of this problem. Bleat on Dems
Michael, London,
The root cause is that President 's Carter and Clinton degreed together with the PCbrigade. That persons regardless of low or no income should be allowed to have unsecured loans. Wall St. bundled and sold on as legitimate financial investments making vast profits.Gv'ment shld share the blame here.
ann, london,
criticising the bailout plan, but aside from Bernake and Paulson, who else has divined the consequences of NOT bailing out and trying to prop up the financial system? If the bailout fails, will our credit cards and checking accounts be worth anthing?????
Tom, Hollywood, USA
The outlay to bail out Wall St will be more than $700b. Try doubling that. Also, when a person or a country spends more than they receive in wages or tax, after a while they will go down. Maybe not now or tommorrow but eventually.
Samuel, Glasgow,
I don't necessarily agree with the article, but my wife does, so that should make you feel better.
Richard, Phoenix, USA
What's perfectly comprehensible is also supremely sad: government policy is one thing, but mass behavior is another. And Americans' behavior is horrific: rock bottom savings rates and an "I deserve it now" credo. Individual Americans can save themselves, but Americans as whole are failing us all!
Barry, La Jolla, USA
You rightly quote the repeal of the Glass-Steagall Act but this is a double-edged sword. The act prevented commercial banks becoming involved in investment banking activities. The repealing permitted the mobilisation of commercial banking capital into the frenzied securitisation which ensued
brian, Huddersfield, UK
The beauty of capitalism, like rock and roll and advertising is that it caters to the masses. To lose sight of this is to, at the very least, render capitalism superfluous.
glenn schaefer, holbrook, us
America hasn't has capitalism since 1913, when the Federal Revserve was created. A central bank is a pillar of the Communist manifesto. We have oligarchial collectivism just like Europe with more socialism being introduced at a rapid pace along with the police state.
James, tampa, fl, USA
Great article, great sense of proportion and perspective. And don;t you just love iut when those loathsome, smug, priggish, chauvanist Eurotits get egfg all over their sanctimonious faces. I hope their entire edifice falls on top of them.
Billy Barnett, HK,
Gerard: Isn't it funny the crisis hit weeks before the vote? Quite possibly we are seeing deja vu all over again a la "it's the economy, stupid." That was a lie in 1992 and just might be a lie now. No "plaudits with Marx and Engels" here, but more likely Joseph Goebbels.
George, Stillwater , Oklahoma
It should be remembered that the function of the Fed is to promote growth, not to control inflation, therefore it is easier for it to rush to cut interest rates. However markets have trumped central banks rates for a year now which is why a slump is inevitable.
roger sykes, christchurch,
Very good article, Mr Baker.
But there remains a massive oversight in UK and US reporting on the "Anglo-Saxon Model".
Both Canada and Australia's banks are in *very good shape*.
Why? Gee...does the term "regulation" ring any bells?
Of course, the UK completely overlooks Canada's housing model.
stephen saines, toronto, canada
I think the real problem is not that "Europe" refuses to recognize the crisis, but that some parts see it before others. Ireland sees that it needs to bail out its banks, but Germany is in denial - so far - and there is no EU Treasury or policy. Tell me again how the Euro is a "single" currency?
jon livesey, Sunnyvale, CA/USA